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Trong the gioi bong da day cam xuc va chien thuat, nhung con so thong ke khong chi la du lieu kho khan ma con la ban do chi tiet giup chung ta "doc vi" dien bien thuc su cua mot tran cau dinh cao. Doi voi nguoi ham mo bong da cuong nhiet, viec nam vung cach phan tich thong ke tran dau – dac biet la nhung con so ma cac trang nhu bong da so cung cap – se nang trai nghiem xem bong da len mot tam cao moi. Hay cung di sau vao kham pha y nghia dang sau tung chi so, bien ban tu mot khan gia thong thuong thanh mot nha phan tich tai ba ngay tai nha.
Suc Manh Cua Nhung Con So Co Ban: Kiem Soat va Tan Cong
Khi theo doi bang thong ke truc tuyen, nhung chi so co ban luon la diem khoi dau quan trong nhat. Hai chi so thuong duoc dat canh nhau la Ty le Kiem soat bong (Possession) va So lan Sut bong (Shots).
Ty le kiem soat bong, thuong duoc tinh bang phan tram, cho thay doi nao dang chiem uu the ve mat giu nhip do tran dau. Tuy nhien, can luu y rang kiem soat bong cao khong dong nghia voi chien thang. Mot doi bong co the chuyen bong qua lai o khu vuc giua san ma khong tao ra moi de doa nao. Day la luc chi so sut bong tro nen quan trong.
Sut bong duoc chia nho thanh Sut trung dich (Shots on Target) va Sut lech/bi chan. So lan sut trung dich la thuoc do truc tiep nhat ve kha nang tao co hoi nguy hiem cua hang cong. Neu mot doi co 70% kiem soat bong nhung chi co 1 cu sut trung dich, trong khi doi thu 30% kiem soat bong lai co 5 cu sut trung dich, ro rang doi thu hai dang choi hieu qua hon. Day la mot vi du kinh dien ve viec hieu suat tan cong quan trong hon su pho truong ve thoi gian giu bong.
Phan Tich Chieu Sau: Thong Ke Vi Tri va Do Chinh Xac
De hieu ro hon ve chat luong tan cong, chung ta can xem xet cac chi so nang cao hon. Tong so duong chuyen (Total Passes) va Ty le chuyen bong chinh xac (Pass Accuracy) cung cap cai nhin ve su gan ket va do chuan xac trong viec trien khai loi choi. Mot doi bong lon thuong co ty le chuyen bong chinh xac rat cao (thuong tren 85%) vi ho kiem soat khong gian va lua chon duong chuyen an toan.
Tuy nhien, hay chu y den Chuyen bong o 1/3 san doi phuong (Final Third Passes). Day la khu vuc quyet dinh ban thang. Neu mot doi co ty le chuyen chinh xac tong the cao nhung so luong duong chuyen vao 1/3 san doi phuong thap hoac ty le chinh xac o khu vuc nay giam manh, dieu do cho thay ho gap kho khan khi xuyen pha hang phong ngu.
Mot chi so cuc ky gia tri khac la Expected Goals (xG), du khong phai luc nao cung hien thi ro rang tren moi bang thong ke co ban, nhung cac trang phan tich chuyen sau thuong de cap. xG do luong chat luong co hoi ghi ban dua tren vi tri va loai hinh dut diem. Neu mot doi co xG cao hon doi thu nhung ty so thuc te lai thap, dieu do am chi ho dang lang phi co hoi ngon an, mot van de nghiem trong can duoc khac phuc.
Goc Khuat Cua Tran Dau: Thong Ke Phong Ngu va Ky Luat
Bong da khong chi la tan cong. Cac chi so phong ngu he lo su chac chan va ky luat cua tuyen duoi.
So lan tac bong (Tackles) va So lan danh chan (Interceptions) la hai chi so phong ngu cot loi. Tac bong thanh cong cho thay kha nang tranh chap truc dien cua cac hau ve va tien ve tru. Danh chan the hien kha nang doc tinh huong va cat dut duong chuyen cua doi thu.
Mot doi bong pressing tam cao se co so lan tac bong va danh chan cao hon ro ret o khu vuc giua san. Nguoc lai, mot doi lui sau phong ngu co the chi can it tac bong hon nhung lai co nhieu pha cuu thua hoac can pha trong vong cam.
Khong the bo qua yeu to Pham loi (Fouls) va The phat (Cards). So luong pham loi cho thay muc do quyet liet va ap luc doi bong tao ra. Tuy nhien, neu so luong the vang/the do cao, do la dau hieu cua su thieu kiem soat, co the dan den viec mat nguoi hoac bi phat den, anh huong nghiem trong den cuc dien tran dau.
Ung Dung Thuc Tien Khi Xem Bongdaso
Khi ban dang theo doi bang thong ke truc tuyen tu Bongdaso, hay ap dung tu duy phan tich nay:
- Dung tin ngay vao Kiem soat bong: Hay xem no di kem voi Sut trung dich va xG (neu co).
- Tim kiem su mat can bang: Neu mot doi ap dao ve hau het cac chi so nhung van bi dan truoc, hay xem xet yeu to Hieu suat dut diem (Finishing Efficiency) – co the ho gap van rui hoac thu mon doi phuong qua xuat sac.
- Phong ngu phan cong: Trong mot tran dau can bang ve so lieu, doi nao co so lan chuyen doi trang thai nhanh hon, duoc the hien qua so lan tac bong/danh chan dan den cac pha phan cong nhanh, thuong la doi co co hoi thang cao hon.
Hieu ro thong ke tran dau khong chi lam tang su hung thu khi theo doi bong da ma con giup ban co cai nhin khach quan, khoa hoc ve man trinh dien cua cac doi bong. Hay bien moi tran dau ban xem thanh mot bai hoc phan tich du lieu, va ban se khong bao gio cam thay nham chan voi nhung con so kho khan nua! Xem them: Livescore, Nhung duong link huu ich:
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